2 Aug · 03:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1636
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Ruzicka
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Prosa
ELO 1627
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H3-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.