2 Aug · 00:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1573
FormLWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jr
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1673
FormWLLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~80 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+100
H2H60-40
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+100)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (60-40)