1 Aug · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VV
🇨🇿Viktor Vejvoda
ELO 1526
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Bayer
AB
🇨🇿Ales Bayer
ELO 1562
FormWLLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Bayer
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H13-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.