1 Aug · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vondrak
ELO 1548
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vondrak
VV
🇨🇿Viktor Vejvoda
ELO 1526
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vejvoda🌟Vondrak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (69)
Fair odds · Vondrak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H14-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.