1 Aug · 21:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VV
🇨🇿Viktor Vejvoda
ELO 1526
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Wagner
RW
🇨🇿Richard Wagner
ELO 1551
FormLLLLW
49%
51%
🌟Wagner stays under total as favourite 64% (36)
Fair odds · Wagner
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H7-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.