1 Aug · 18:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JZ
🇨🇿Jiri Zuzanek
ELO 1556
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Bayer
AB
🇨🇿Ales Bayer
ELO 1562
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Bayer
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H10-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.