1 Aug · 21:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PB
🇨🇿Petr Budinsky
ELO 1575
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Budinsky
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1551
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Budinsky
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.