1 Aug · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇨🇿Milan Vrabec
ELO 1347
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vrabec
LH
🇨🇿Leos Havrda
ELO 1294
FormWWLLL
53%
47%
🌟Havrda stays under total as underdog 64% (58)
Fair odds · Vrabec
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.