1 Aug · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DM
🇨🇿David Mikula
ELO 1463
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Mikula
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Bosak
ELO 1438
FormLLLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Mikula
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H2-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.