1 Aug · 20:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kraninger
ELO 1536
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kraninger
MJ
🇨🇿Milan Jasek
ELO 1505
FormLWLWW
52%
48%
🌟Jasek stays under total as underdog 65% (26)
Fair odds · Kraninger
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~80 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H9-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.