1 Aug · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Pilch
ELO 1619
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Paril
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Paril
ELO 1639
FormWLWLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pilch🌟Paril rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (185)
Fair odds · Paril
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H9-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.