1 Aug · 16:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AS
🇨🇿Antonin Schneeberger
ELO 1404
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kaspar
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kaspar
ELO 1432
FormWWWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Kaspar
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.