2 Aug · 02:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PP
🇨🇿Petr Picek
ELO 1454
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Bruzek
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bruzek
ELO 1502
FormWLLLW
47%
53%
🌟Bruzek stays under total as favourite 68% (34)
Fair odds · Bruzek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H6-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.