2 Aug · 02:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Prosa
ELO 1627
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Prosa
MZ
🇨🇿Michal Zahradka
ELO 1531
FormLWWLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Prosa
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+96
H2H11-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-9)