1 Aug · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MR
🇨🇿Milan Regner
ELO 1404
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Regner
L1
🇨🇿Ladislav Havel 1956
ELO 1379
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Regner rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (66)
Fair odds · Regner
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H8-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.