2 Aug · 03:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bruzek
ELO 1502
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Bartunek
RB
🇨🇿Radek Bartunek
ELO 1503
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
🌟Bruzek stays under total as underdog 63% (46)
Fair odds · Bartunek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H9-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.