1 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LH
🇨🇿Leos Havrda
ELO 1294
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Svec
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Svec
ELO 1316
FormWWLLL
49%
51%
🌟Havrda stays under total as underdog 64% (58)
Fair odds · Svec
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H20-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.