1 Aug · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tibor Kolenic
ELO 1430
FormWWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Horak
DH
🇨🇿David Horak
ELO 1519
FormWWLLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Horak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+89
H2H25-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-14)