1 Aug · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vondrak
ELO 1548
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sychra
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1559
FormLLWWW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vondrak🌟Vondrak covers set handicap as underdog 62% (72)
Fair odds · Sychra
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+11
H2H27-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.