1 Aug · 21:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IT
🇨🇿Ivo Taichman
ELO 1513
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kraninger
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kraninger
ELO 1536
FormWLWLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Kraninger
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H5-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.