2 Aug · 03:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Regner
ELO 1497
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Regner
JS
🇨🇿Jan Steffan
ELO 1481
FormWWWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Regner
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H14-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.