2 Aug · 01:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1565
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Trinta
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kucirek
ELO 1532
FormWLWWW
52%
48%
🌟Kucirek covers set handicap as underdog 69% (54)
Fair odds · Trinta
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 31% · 3.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H5-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.