2 Aug · 02:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kucirek
ELO 1532
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kucirek
DH
🇨🇿David Horak
ELO 1519
FormWWLLW
51%
49%
🌟Kucirek stays under total as favourite 68% (44)
Fair odds · Kucirek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.