1 Aug · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1347
FormWLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Syroha
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1340
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Syroha
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H17-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.