2 Aug · 01:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1564
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Darin
OV
🇨🇿Oleg Vitrovyj
ELO 1531
FormLWWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Darin
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.