1 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Svec
ELO 1316
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Martinek
JM
🇨🇿Jaroslav Martinek
ELO 1362
FormLWLWW
48%
52%
🌟Martinek stays under total as favourite 73% (15)
Fair odds · Martinek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.