1 Aug · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jakub Kycelt
ELO 1630
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Mares
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1705
FormLLLLW
46%
54%
🌟Mares rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (137)
Fair odds · Mares
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+75
H2H8-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.