1 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Michal Blaha
ELO 1436
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Blaha
PB
🇨🇿Petr Banot
ELO 1415
FormLLWWL
51%
49%
🌟Banot stays under total as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Blaha
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.