1 Aug · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1603
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sebera
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vondrak
ELO 1548
FormWWWWL
53%
47%
🌟Vondrak covers set handicap as underdog 62% (72)
Fair odds · Sebera
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H19-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.