1 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RG
🇨🇿Roman Guliak
ELO 1473
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Guliak
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Bosak
ELO 1438
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Bosak🌟Guliak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (55)
Fair odds · Guliak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H0-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.