1 Aug · 18:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Svec
ELO 1316
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sr
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1340
FormLWWWW
49%
51%
🌟Sr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (102)
Fair odds · Sr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 55% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H15-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.