1 Aug · 18:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇨🇿Daniel Priesol
ELO 1440
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Priesol
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kaspar
ELO 1432
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
🌟Kaspar stays under total as underdog 83% (12)
Fair odds · Priesol
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 36% · 2.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H0-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.