1 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1603
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sebera
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1559
FormLLWWW
52%
48%
🌟Sychra covers set handicap as underdog 65% (164)
Fair odds · Sebera
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H55-58
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.