1 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1559
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Louda
JL
🇨🇿Jiri Louda
ELO 1577
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sychra🌟Sychra covers set handicap as underdog 65% (164)
Fair odds · Louda
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H24-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.