1 Aug · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇨🇿Daniel Priesol
ELO 1440
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Priesol
AS
🇨🇿Antonin Schneeberger
ELO 1404
FormWWLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Priesol
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H11-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.