1 Aug · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
L1
🇨🇿Ladislav Havel 1956
ELO 1379
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pleskot
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pleskot
ELO 1427
FormLLWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Pleskot
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H18-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.