1 Aug · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zmuda
ELO 1545
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Budinsky
PB
🇨🇿Petr Budinsky
ELO 1575
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Zmuda covers set handicap as underdog 67% (36)
Fair odds · Budinsky
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 48% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.