1 Aug · 14:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tibor Kolenic
ELO 1430
FormWWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Trinta
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1565
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Trinta
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+135
H2H23-46
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)