1 Aug · 20:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Jindrak
ELO 1728
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jindrak
EM
🇨🇿Erik Mares
ELO 1705
FormLLLLW
51%
49%
🌟Mares covers set handicap as underdog 63% (125)
Fair odds · Jindrak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H25-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.