1 Aug · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DL
🇨🇿Daniel Langer
ELO 1594
FormLLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Langer
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kraninger
ELO 1536
FormWLWLW
53%
47%
🌟Kraninger covers set handicap as underdog 78% (27)
Fair odds · Langer
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 43% · 2.34· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.