1 Aug · 16:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1613
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Pilch
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Pilch
ELO 1619
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pilch🌟Pilch rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (54)
Fair odds · Pilch
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H8-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.