2 Aug · 01:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PP
🇨🇿Petr Picek
ELO 1454
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Bartunek
RB
🇨🇿Radek Bartunek
ELO 1503
FormWLLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Bartunek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 34% · 2.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H10-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.