1 Aug · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1340
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Lubas
ML
🇨🇿Miloslav Lubas
ELO 1342
FormLLLWW
50%
50%
🌟Lubas stays under total as favourite 70% (20)
Fair odds · Lubas
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.