2 Aug · 04:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DH
🇨🇿David Horak
ELO 1531
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Horak
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Briza
ELO 1457
FormWLWLL
54%
46%
🌟Briza covers set handicap as underdog 63% (127)
Fair odds · Horak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+74
H2H47-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.