2 Aug · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DM
🇨🇿Dalimil Machander
ELO 1568
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Machander
MB
🇨🇿Marek Bereiter
ELO 1537
FormWLLWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Bereiter🌟Bereiter covers set handicap as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Machander
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.