2 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pleskot
ELO 1444
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Tacinec
MT
🇨🇿Martin Tacinec
ELO 1504
FormLLWWL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pleskot
Fair odds · Tacinec
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H22-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.