2 Aug · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JH
🇨🇿Jakub Hradecky
ELO 1555
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Pavelka
RP
🇨🇿Radim Pavelka
ELO 1578
FormWWWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Pavelka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H0-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.