2 Aug · 01:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Briza
ELO 1457
FormWLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kucirek
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kucirek
ELO 1532
FormWLWWW
46%
54%
🌟Kucirek stays under total as favourite 68% (44)
Fair odds · Kucirek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 25% · 4.00· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+75
H2H1-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.