2 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇨🇿Martin Tacinec
ELO 1504
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Tacinec
MB
🇨🇿Miroslav Barta
ELO 1462
FormWLWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Tacinec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.