2 Aug · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JH
🇨🇿Jakub Hradecky
ELO 1555
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hradecky
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Pozarsky
ELO 1521
FormLWLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Hradecky
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H12-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.